Abstract:Based on Tapio decoupling model and Kaya identities,using LMDI method,the article builds an extended Tapio decoupling model.Based on time series data of China's carbon emissions and export trade in 1990—2011.it makes a quantitative analysis of the decoupling relationship between China's carbon emissions and export trade.The results show that:the decoupling relationship between China's carbon emissions and export trade is weak in the period of 1990—2011,but the decoupling relationship in 16 divisions is different.The growth of Chinese export trade is positively correlated with increased carbon emissions,carbon energy structure and energy intensity factor should get more concern.
刘爱东,曾辉祥,周琼. 中国碳排放与出口贸易间脱钩关系实证[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2014(10): 85-91.
Liu Aidong,Zeng Huixiang,Zhou Qiong. Empirical Study of Decoupling Relationship between Carbon Emissions and Export Trade of China Based on Tapio and LMDI. , 2014(10): 85-91.
[1] 唐德才,王云,仲凤霞,李长顺.基于IO-SDA模型的广东省外贸隐含碳的分解分析[J].中国科技论坛,2014,(1):140-146. [2]于凤玲,周扬,等.中国能源消费与经济发展关系的实证研究[J].中南大学学报(社会科学版),2013,19(3):29-35. [3]Wang T,Watson J.Who Owns China's Carbon Emissions[J].TyndallBriefingNote,2007,23:1-7. [4]Shui B,Harriss R C.The Role of CO2 Embodiment in US-China Trade[J].Energy Policy,2006,34(18):4063-4068. [5]Li Y,Hewitt C N.The Effect of Trade Between China and the UK on National and Global Carbon Dioxide Emission[J].Energy Policy,2008,36(6):1907-1914. [6]Machado G,Schaeer R.Energy and Carbon Embodied in the International Trade of China:An Input-Output Approach[J].Ecological Economics,2006,(3):409-424. [7]刘强,庄幸,姜克隽,等.中国出口贸易中的载能量及碳排放量分析[J].中国工业经济,2008,(8):46-55. [8]彭海珍.关于贸易自由化对中国环境影响的分析[J].财贸研究,2006,(4):35-41. [9]许广月,宋德勇.我国出口贸易、经济增长与碳排放关系的实证研究[J].国际贸易问题,2010,(1):74-79. [10]刘亚铮,张昭,李延芳.二氧化碳排放与经济增长关系探究[J].湖南财政经济学院学报,2013,29(8):13-18. [11]OECD.Indicators to Measures Decoupling of Environment Pressures from Economic Growth[R].Paris:OECD,2002 [12]TAPIO.Towards a Theory of Decoupling:Degrees of Decoupling in the EU and the Case of Road Traffic in Finland Between 1970 and 2001[J].Journal of Transport Policy,2005,(12):137-151. [13]ANG B W,ZHANG F Q,CHOI K H.Factorizing Changes in Energy and Environmental Indicators Through Decomposition[J].Energy,1998,23(6):489-495. [14]陈诗一.能源消耗、二氧化碳排放与中国工业的可持续发展[J].经济研究,2009,(4):41-55.