Time Span of Technological Realization to Social Realization:——Based on the 9thScience and Technology Foresight in Japan
Zhou Juan1,Peng Li2,Qiao Weiguo3
1.School of Insurance,University of International Business and Economics,Beijing 100029,China; 2.School of Economics,Liaoning University,Shenyang 110036,China; 3.Institute of Policy and Management of Chinese Academy of Sciences，Beijing 100190，China
Abstract：The time span of technological realization to social realization is relevant to S&T&I strategy planning and assessment cycleBased on 726 pieces of technology data from the Japanese 9th Science and Technology Foresight,this paper finds that the time span is about 7 yearsBut difference exits in different technology areas,for those relevant to biotechnology,information technology,health technology,etc,the time span is slightly longer,while for those relevant to environment and infrastructure it is shorterCompared to single technology,the time span of some system technologies which integrate existing technologies seems shorterTherefore,government should take time span of technology cycle into consideration when formulating S&T&I policy,extend planning and assessing cycle,and pay more attention to the difference among technologies and the role of big companies.
周娟,彭莉,乔为国. 技术可行到社会实现的时间跨度——基于日本第9次科技预见的研究[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2015(12): 143-148.
Zhou Juan,Peng Li,Qiao Weiguo. Time Span of Technological Realization to Social Realization:——Based on the 9thScience and Technology Foresight in Japan. , 2015(12): 143-148.
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