基于多层次分析框架的人工智能创新生态系统演化研究

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摘要本文基于多层次分析框架构建人工智能创新生态系统演化模型,根据技术生态位、市场生态位、社会技术范式和社会技术地景特征,把系统演化分为技术保护期、积累探索期和战略发展期,以百度、阿里和腾讯为研究对象,采用多案例探索性研究方法,探究该创新生态系统的演化过程与机理,并验证模型的科学适用性。研究结果显示:人工智能创新生态系统经历了技术保护期、积累探索期和战略发展期,已经跨越技术生态位和市场生态位,并迈入规模化应用阶段,以人工智能为核心的新社会技术范式加速形成;核心企业的发展战略对创新生态系统的演化具有决定性作用;社会技术地景正向迁移对创新生态系统演化具有重要推动作用;创新生态系统的演化需要系统内部成员之间紧密合作与相互协同。

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	孙丽文
	李少帅

关键词 ：生态位, 社会技术范式, 社会技术地景, 创新生态系统

Abstract：Based on the multi-level perspectives the paper constructs the evolution model of the artificial intelligence innovation ecosystem.According to the characteristics of the technology niche,market niche,social technology regimes,and social technology landscape,the system evolution is divided into the technology protection period,accumulation and exploration period and strategic development period.Taking Baidu,Alibaba and Tencent as the case study objects,the paper uses multi-case exploratory research methods to explore the evolution process and mechanism of the innovation ecosystem,and to test the scientific and applicability of the evolution model.The research results show that the artificial intelligence innovation ecosystem has gone through the technological protection period,the accumulation exploration period and the strategic development period.It has crossed the technological niche and market niche and entered the stage of large-scale application,and the new social technology paradigm with artificial intelligence as the core has accelerated form.The development strategy of core companies is decisive for the evolution of the innovation ecosystem.The positive migration of the socio-technical landscape plays an important role in promoting the evolution of the innovation ecosystem.The evolution of the innovation ecosystem requires close cooperation and mutual coordination among members of the system.

Key words： Niche Social technology regimes Social technology landscape Innovation ecosystem

收稿日期: 2021-05-07

PACS:

C93

基金资助:国家社科基金重大项目 “雄安新区创新生态系统构建机制与路径研究” (18ZDA044)。

通讯作者: 李少帅

作者简介: 孙丽文 (1964-),女,天津人,教授、博士生导师,研究方向为技术创新与产业发展。

引用本文:

孙丽文, 李少帅. 基于多层次分析框架的人工智能创新生态系统演化研究[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2022(3): 62-71.
Sun Liwen, Li Shaoshuai. Research on Evolution of Artificial Intelligence Innovation Ecosystem Based on Multi-Level Analysis Framework. , 2022(3): 62-71.

链接本文:

http://www.zgkjlt.org.cn/CN/Y2022/I3/62

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