Abstract：How to achieve late catch-up of key technologies has become a frontier issue in the field of technology catch-up research.Therefore,based on technology life cycle theory,revealed technology advantage index and opportunity window theory,the current situation of catching up in the Chinese artificial intelligence key technologies is analyzed.The results show as follows.①From the very beginning to the growth period,computer vision,natural language processing and intelligent adaptive learning technologies have certain technical advantages due to seize demand-based windows of opportunity,while facing the pressure of catching up during the period from growth to maturity.②The technology leadership of autonomous unmanned systems runs through the Beginning-Growth-Maturity period.③Swarm intelligence,cross-media analysis and reasoning,brain-computer interface and smart chip technologies don't have core competitiveness in the whole technology life cycle and will face late catch-up once or twice in the future.Therefore,according to the sensitivity of the window of opportunity,demand advantages,technology supply and the new type of national system,the feasible suggestions for catching-up of key technologies are proposed.
袁野, 吴超楠, 陶于祥, 李晶莹. 关键技术的后发追赶与动态比较——基于人工智能技术生命周期的实证分析[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2022(6): 90-100.
Yuan Ye, Wu Chaonan, Tao Yuxiang, Li Jingying. Late Catch-up and Dynamic Comparison of Key Technologies: An Empirical Analysis Based on the Life Cycle of Artificial Intelligence. , 2022(6): 90-100.
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