Optimization of Industrial Structure Based on Goals of Energy Intensity and Economic Growth for Jing-Jin-Ji
Wang Shaohua1,Zhang Wei2
1.School of Economics and Management,Yanshan University,Qinhuangdao 066004,China; 2.School of Economics and Business,Northeastern University at Qinhuangdao,Qinhuangdao 066004,China
Abstract：This paper constructs a ridge regression model referring to industrial structure and energy intensity,then decomposes the correlation coefficient between industry structure and energy intensity,to reveal the influence mechanism of industrial structure on energy intensity and refine the path of industrial structure optimization to reduce energy intensity,based on goals of energy saving and economic growth set in 13th Five Year Plan .Results show:under the target of economic growth,the industrial structure optimization cannot meet the energy saving target in Beijing and Hebei,while under the target of economic growth,the industrial structure optimization of Tianjin cannot achieve the target of economic growth.Therefore,Beijing should drive internal upgrading of the third industry through energy saving,and Hebei should drive acceleration of the industrialization process,whereas Tianjin should vigorously develop advanced manufacturing in the premise of ensuring economic growth.
王韶华, 张 伟. 基于能源强度和经济增长目标的京津冀产业结构优化研究[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2018(7): 88-96.
Wang Shaohua,Zhang Wei. Optimization of Industrial Structure Based on Goals of Energy Intensity and Economic Growth for Jing-Jin-Ji. , 2018(7): 88-96.
[1] 张雷,李艳梅,黄园淅,等.中国结构节能减排的潜力分析[J].中国软科学,2011(2):42-51. [2]王晓,齐晔.经济结构变化对中国能源消费的影响分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2013,23(1):49-54. [3]李金昌,杨松,赵楠.中国能源强度影响因素分析[J].商业经济与管理,2014(12):73-80. [4]PHILIP Kofi Adom.Determinants of energy intensity in South Africa:testing for structural effects in parameters[J].Energy,2015(89):334-346. [5]张勇,蒲勇健.产业结构变迁及其对能源强度的影响[J].产业经济研究,2015(2):15-22. [6]RAUL Jimenez,JORGE Mercado.Energy intensity:a decomposition and counterfactual exercise for Latin American Countries[J].Energy economics,2014(42):161-171. [7]张成龙,李继峰,张阿玲,等.1997—2007年中国能源强度变化的因素分解[J].清华大学学报(自然科学版),2013,53(5):688-693. [8]林伯强,杜克锐.理解中国能源强度的变化:一个综合的分解框架[J].世界经济,2014(4):69-87. [9]LIDIA Andrés,EMILIO Padilla.Energy intensity in road freight transport of heavy goods vehicles in spain[J].Energy policy,2015(85):309-321. [10]郑义,徐康宁.中国能源强度不断下降的驱动因素[J].经济管理,2012,34(2):11-21. [11]JARUWAN Chontanawat,et al.Decomposition analysis of the change of energy intensity of manufacturing industries in thailand[J].Energy,2014(77):171-182. [12]郭菊娥,柴建,席酉民.一次能源消费结构变化对我国单GDP能耗影响效应研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2008,18(4):38-43. [13]王修华,王翔.产业结构升级与低碳经济发展的耦合研究[J].软科学,2012,26(3):29-32. [14]杜家菊,陈志伟.使用SPSS线性回归实现通径分析的方法[J].生物学通报,2010(2):4-6. [15]范德成,张伟.中国三次产业结构与初次分配结构变动关系的实证研究[J].数理统计与管理,2013(5):769-776.
2018, 
