Abstract：From the perspective of innovation process,the innovation process of China's HTI can be divided into three stages,including the formation of scientific and technological achievements,the formation of commercial value,the formation of economic benefits.By finding the lag year and cumulative ratio,we study the cumulative effect of innovation performance of China's high-tech industry.The empirical study finds that the cumulative ratio of HTI's innovation input appears as inverted U-shaped curve,increases before the lag year,decreases after the lag year,and reaches an maximum value of 66.47% at the lag year.And the lagged effects of HTI's innovation performance appears as inverted U-shaped pattern over innovation phase.Both the lagged effect and cumulative effect of HIT's innovation performance in China during the formation of commercial value are stronger than that of the formation of scientific and technological achievements,and there is no lagged effect or cumulative effect during the formation of economic benefits.Therefore,the investment of innovation capital should be further increased during the formation of scientific and technological achievements and commercial value,and the innovation capability of high-tech industries should be nurtured by cumulative effects to enhance their innovation performance.Further,in order to optimizing the existing evaluation criteria,we should distinguish different phases of innovation,different lag of variables and the corresponding cumulative effects when evaluating the innovation efficiency of HTI.
赵玉林, 胡燕. 高技术产业创新绩效的累积效应——基于阶段性和滞后期的实证分析[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2018(10): 101-110.
Zhao Yulin, Hu Yan. The Cumulative Effect of High Technology Industry's Innovation Performance in China:An Empirical Analysis Based on Phases and Lags. , 2018(10): 101-110.
[1]梁莱歆,张永榜.高新技术企业R&D投入与绩效现状调查分析[J].研究与发展管理,2006(2):47-51. [2]肖兴志,谢理.中国战略性新兴产业创新效率的实证分析[J].经济管理,2011(11):26-35. [3]张永庆,刘清华,徐炎.中国医药制造业研发效率及影响因素[J].中国科技论坛,2011(1):70-74. [4]BRONWYN H Hall,RAFFAELE Oriani.Does the market value R&D investment by European firms? Evidence from a panel of manufacturing firms in France,Germany,and Italy[J].International journal of industrial organization,2006,24(5):971-993. [5]刘树林,姜新蓬,余谦.中国高技术产业技术创新三阶段特征及其演变[J].数量经济技术经济研究,2015(7):104-116. [6]周文光,黄瑞华.创新绩效、R&D资本存量与吸收能力的增长路径[J].科研管理,2012,33(11):24-31. [7]梁莱歆,金杨,赵娜.基于企业生命周期的R&D投入与企业绩效关系研究——来自上市公司经验数据[J].科学学与科学技术管理, 2010,3(12):11-17. [8]ROY Rothwell.Towards the fifth-generation innovation process[J].International marketing review,1994, 11(1):7-31. [9]FEDERICA Rossi.An introductory overview of innovation studies[J].Mpra paper,2002. [10]BOAZ Bernstein,PRAKASH J Singh.An integrated innovation process model based on practices of Australian biotechnology firms[J].Technovation,2006,26(5-6):561-572. [11]MORTEN T Hansen,JULIAN Birkinshaw.The innovation value chain.[J].Harvard business review,2007, 85(6):121. [12]STEPHEN Roper,JUN Du,JAMES H Love.Modelling the innovation value chain[J].Research policy,2008,37(6-7):961-977. [13]GUAN Jiancheng,CHEN Kaihua.Measuring the innovation production process:a cross-region empirical study of China's high-tech innovations[J].Technovation,2010,30(5-6):348-358. [14]范群林,邵云飞,唐小我.环境政策、技术进步、市场结构对环境技术创新影响的实证研究[J].科研管理,2013,34(6):68-76. [15]黄志启.高科技产业集群中知识溢出效应的模型与实证分析[J].科研管理,2013,34(1):154-162. [16]李平,宫旭红.基于国际引文的技术知识扩散研究:来自中国的证据[J].管理世界,2011(12):21-31. [17]DENNIS Chambers,ROSS Jennings,ROBERT B Thompson.Excess returns to R&D-intensive firms[J].Review of accounting studies,2002,7(2-3):133-158. [18]郭研,刘一博.高新技术企业研发投入与研发绩效的实证分析——来自中关村的证据[J].经济科学,2011(2):117-128. [19]赵心刚,汪克夷,孙海洋.我国上市公司研发投入绩效的累积效应——基于修正的Cobb-Douglas生产函数的实证分析[J].技术经济,2012,31(10):47-51. [20]MYRIAM Cloodt,JOHN Hagedoorn,HANS VAN Kraneburg.Mergers and acquisitions:their effect on innovative performance of companies in high-tech industries[J].Research policy,2006,35(5):642-654. [21]GUENTER Lang.Measuring the returns of R&D-An empirical study of the German manufacturing sector over 45 years[J].Research policy,2009,38(9):1438-1445. [22]VALDEMAR Smith,MOGENS D Hansen,TOR Eriksson,ERIK S Madsen.R&D and productivity in Danish firms:some empirical evidence[J].Applied economics,2004,36(16):1797-1806. [23]BARUCH Lev,THEODORE Sougiannis.The capitalization,amortization,and value-relevance of R&D[J].Journal of accounting & economics,1996,21(1):107-138. [24]ROD Coombs.Core competencies and the strategic management of R&D[J].R&D management,1996,26(4):345-355. [25]王君彩,王淑芳.企业研发投入与业绩的相关性——基于电子信息行业的实证分析[J].中央财经大学学报,2008(12):57-62. [26]任海云,师萍.公司R&D投入与绩效的实证研究——基于A股制造业上市公司的数据分析[J].科技进步与对策,2009(2):89-93. [27]江诗松,龚丽敏,魏江.转型经济中后发企业的创新能力追赶路径:国有企业和民营企业的双城故事[J].管理世界,2011(12):96-115. [28]栾强,罗守贵.R&D资助、企业创新和技术进步——基于国有企业与民营企业对比的实证研究[J].科学学研究,2017,35(4):625-632. [29]江薇薇.民营高新技术企业科技发展与专利应用研究[J].重庆理工大学学报:社会科学版,2011,25(12):44-49.
2018, 
