颠覆性技术的价值评价体系构建及实证研究——基于AHP和熵权法

摘要
图/表
参考文献
相关文章 (15)

全文: PDF (1110 KB) HTML (1 KB)
输出: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)

摘要近年来,颠覆性技术已受到国家和社会各方面的高度关注。通过分析颠覆性技术特征,在此基础上运用扎根理论获取颠覆性技术的价值评价指标,构建一套科学、合理的颠覆性技术价值评价体系,再采用AHP和熵权法组合赋权的形式确定指标权重,并以无人驾驶技术为例,验证该体系的可行性,最后从技术升级、企业发展和政策落实3个方面分析颠覆性技术价值评价体系的作用。该体系为颠覆性技术的价值发现提供参考,也为后续颠覆性技术研究提供新思路。

	服务

	把本文推荐给朋友
	加入我的书架
	加入引用管理器
	E-mail Alert
	RSS
	作者相关文章
	吕鲲
	项旻昊
	邱佳烨

关键词 ：颠覆性技术, 价值评价, 扎根理论, 层次分析法, 熵权法

Abstract：In recent years,disruptive technologies have received high attention from various sectors of the state and society.By analyzing the characteristics of disruptive technologies,using the grounded theory to obtain the value evaluation indicators of disruptive technologies,constructing a scientific and reasonable value evaluation system for disruptive technologies,and then using AHP and entropy weight method to combine and assign weights to the indicators,and taking autonomous driving technology as an example to verify the feasibility of the system,this study finally analyzes the role of the value evaluation system of disruptive technologies from three aspects including technology upgrading,enterprise development and policy implementation.This system provides reference for the value discovery of disruptive technologies and also provides new ideas for future research on disruptive technologies.

Key words： Disruptive technology Value evaluation Grounded theory Analytic hierarchy process Entropy weight method

收稿日期: 2022-01-26

PACS:

F124.3

基金资助:国家社会科学基金青年项目 “ ‘双碳’目标下 ‘技术-经济-区域’信息融合的创新生态系统构建及其协同演化研究” (22CTQ028)。

作者简介: 吕鲲 (1988—),男,黑龙江牡丹江人,博士、特聘副研究员、讲师,研究方向为技术创新、大数据分析与挖掘。

引用本文:

吕鲲, 项旻昊, 邱佳烨. 颠覆性技术的价值评价体系构建及实证研究——基于AHP和熵权法[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2023(2): 30-38.
Lv Kun, Xiang Minhao, Qiu Jiaye. Value Evaluation System Construction and Empirical Study of Disruptive Technology ——Based on AHP and Information Entropy. , 2023(2): 30-38.

链接本文:

http://www.zgkjlt.org.cn/CN/Y2023/I2/30

[1]BOWER J L,CHRISTENSEN C M.Disruptive technologies:catching the wave[J].Harvard business review,1995,73 (32):101-103.
[2]CHRISTENSEN C M.The innovator's dilemma:when new technologies cause great firms to fail[M].Boston:Harvard Business Press,1997.
[3]CHRISTENSEN C M,RAYNOR M E.The innovator's solution:creating and sustaining successful growth[M].Boston:Harvard Business Press,2003.
[4]白胜.Christensen颠覆性创新理论新进展:反常问题视角[J].中国科技论坛,2021 (12):118-124,133.
[5]PAAP J,KATZ R.Anticipating disruptive innovation[J].Research-technology management,2004,47 (5):13-22.
[6]DANNEELS E.Disruptive technology reconsidered:a critique and research agenda[J].Journal of product innovation management,2004,21 (4):246-258.
[7]ANDERSEN B.The evolution of technological trajectories 1890-1990[J].Structural change and economic dynamic,1998,4 (9):5-34.
[8]曹阳春,张光宇,戴海闻,等.基于跨案例研究的颠覆性技术演进特征分析[J].科技进步与对策,2022,39 (3):1-10.
[9]苏敬勤,刘建华,王智琦,等.颠覆性技术的演化轨迹及早期识别:以智能手机等技术为例[J].科研管理,2016,37 (3):13-20.
[10]邵云飞,詹坤,吴言波.突破性技术创新:理论综述与研究展望[J].技术经济,2017,36 (4):30-37.
[11]谢瑞强,朱雪忠.技术交易平台主体违约风险评价指标体系研究[J].中国科技论坛,2021 (10):162-169.
[12]邢小强,仝允桓.实物期权法评估技术价值及其管理涵义[J].科学学与科学技术管理,2006 (4):23-27.
[13]何绍华,康斌.信息价值和信息服务价值评价研究[J].图书情报工作,2005 (5):72-75.
[14]孟祥翠,代涛,刘志鹏,等.颠覆性技术国际竞争力评价方法[J].科技导报,2019,37 (19):41-49.
[15]苏成,赵志耘,赵筱媛,等.颠覆性技术新阐释:概念、内涵及特征[J].情报学报,2021,40 (12):1253-1262.
[16]开庆,窦永香.颠覆性技术识别研究综述[J].情报杂志,2021,40 (11):31-38.
[17]曹阳春,张光宇,欧春尧,等.颠覆性创新的技术演进特征分析:基于锂离子电池案例[J].中国科技论坛,2022 (2):68-76.