Empirical Analysis of Local Government Participation in Technological Innovation to Promote Industrial Structure Transformation and Upgrading
Yang Yifan1,2, Pan Junhao1,2
1. School of Public Administration,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031,China; 2. Digital Social Infrastructure Laboratory,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031,China
Abstract:The continuous bidirectional interaction between a proactive government and an effective market is key to promoting technological innovation-led industrial structure transformation and upgrading,and achieving high-quality development.Taking Hefei,the only national-level technological innovation pilot city to date,this study uses the synthetic control method,based on data from 160 prefecture-level cities in China from 1999 to 2020,to construct a“synthetic Hefei”that is as similar as possible to Hefei,and compares the gap and difference in industrial structure transformation and upgrading between“real Hefei”and“synthetic Hefei”.The study finds that government policy intervention in technological innovation has no significant impact on the rationalization of industrial structure,but has a significant promotional effect on the advancement of industrial structure,which shows an N-curved change with the implementation of the policy.In the early stage of policy implementation,policy effects are quickly released,significantly improving the level of industrial structure advancement.As time goes on,the level of industrial structure advancement gradually falls back but quickly rebounds and rises again,achieving accelerated surpassing of similar cities in the same period.By combining empirical test results with qualitative refinement of the Hefei case,this paper panoramically explains the internal mechanism of government participation in technological innovation to promote industrial structure transformation and upgrading,providing a reference for formulating and implementing a new round of technological innovation support and guidance policies.
杨一帆, 潘君豪. 地方政府参与科技创新推动产业结构转型升级的实证分析[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2024(3): 70-82.
Yang Yifan, Pan Junhao. Empirical Analysis of Local Government Participation in Technological Innovation to Promote Industrial Structure Transformation and Upgrading. , 2024(3): 70-82.
[1]ROMER P M.Are nonconvexities important for understanding growth[J].American economic review,1990,80:97-103. [2]杜德斌.对加快建成具有全球影响力科技创新中心的思考[J].红旗文稿,2015(12):25-27. [3]吴菲菲,童奕铭,黄鲁成.中国高技术产业创新生态系统有机性评价——创新四螺旋视角[J].科技进步与对策,2020,37(5):67-76. [4]李万,常静,王敏杰,等.创新3.0与创新生态系统[J].科学学研究,2014,32(12):1761-1770. [5]黄永春,黄湛,邹晨.政府参与创新有助于提高城市创新效率吗:基于国家创新型城市试点政策的实证检验[J].科技进步与对策,2022,39(20):92-100. [6]内格尔.科学的结构[M].徐向东,译.上海:上海译文出版社,2005. [7]杜德斌,祝影.全球科技创新中心:内涵特征与评价体系[J].科学,2022,74(4):1-5,69. [8]熊彼特.经济发展理论[M].何畏,易家详,张军扩,等译.北京:商务印书馆,1990. [9]李辉,西桂权.国际开放创新生态建设的新态势[N].光明日报.2023-03-09(15). [10]苏斌,丁文婷,肖凡.科技创新、产业结构升级与经济高质量发展[J].创新科技,2021,21(5):48-59. [11]贾洪文,张伍涛,盘业哲.科技创新、产业结构升级与经济高质量发展[J].上海经济研究,2021(5):50-60. [12]任晓燕,杨水利.技术创新、产业结构升级与经济高质量发展:基于独立效应和协同效应的测度分析[J].华东经济管理,2020,34(11):72-80. [13]汪发元,张东晴,吴雨涵.科技创新、金融发展与产业结构升级:基于安徽省的实证[J].统计与决策,2023,39(3):159-163. [14]陆远权,赵婉莹,蒙媛.市场一体化、科技创新与产业结构升级[J].科学学研究,2023,41(6):1038-1047. [15]白万平,孙溶镁,白鸽,等.科技金融发展的产业结构升级效应研究:基于创业活力的视角[J].贵州财经大学学报,2022(3):59-68. [16]WANG G G, LIU S L.Is technological innovation the effective way to achieve the“double dividend”of environmental protection and industrial upgrading[J].Environmental science and pollution research,2020,27(15):18541-18556. [17]张亚明,宋雯婕,武晓涵,等.科技创新驱动产业升级的多重并发因果关系与多元路径[J].科研管理,2021,42(12):19-28. [18]姜帅,龙静.科技创新促进地区产业结构优化升级了吗[J].中国矿业大学学报(社会科学版),2022,24(5):167-180. [19]刘穷志,岳明阳,夏清华.科技体制综合改革能否实现产业结构优化升级——来自试点城市的经验证据[J].财贸研究,2020,31(7):1-14,60. [20]曹玉平.国家自主创新示范区设立优化了区域创新结构吗:基于合成控制法的实证评估[J].管理评论,2023,35(4):128-143. [21]邓翔,任伊梦,玉国华.低碳城市建设与产业结构优化升级——来自低碳城市试点工作的经验证据[J].软科学,2023,37(2):10-19. [22]蒋选,王林杉.智慧城市政策的产业结构升级效应研究:基于多期DID的经验考察[J].中国科技论坛,2021(12):31-40. [23]冯永琦,邱晶晶.科技金融政策的产业结构升级效果及异质性分析:基于“科技和金融结合试点”的准自然实验[J].产业经济研究,2021(2):128-142. [24]袁航,朱承亮.国家高新区推动了中国产业结构转型升级吗[J].中国工业经济,2018(8):60-77. [25]LIN B Q,ZHOU Y C.How does vertical fiscal imbalance affect the upgrading of industrial structure? empirical evidence from china[J].Technological forecasting and social change,2021,170:120886. [26]刘广亮,冉启英,赵蓉,等.异质性地方政府竞争、绿色技术创新与产业结构升级[J].科技管理研究,2023,43(1):215-222. [27]杨劬,赵莹,张荣光,等.政府创新偏好、产业结构优化与绿色经济发展水平[J].统计与决策,2022,38(19):169-173. [28]李振,王秀芝.财政科技支出效率对地方产业结构升级的影响:基于我国省级面板数据的实证分析[J].经济体制改革,2022(1):143-149. [29]马宗国,王旭.政府创新补贴能促进国家自主创新示范区产业转型升级吗——技术创新强度的中介效应[J].2023,40(14):31-39. [30]配第.政治算术[M].陈冬野,译.北京:商务印书馆,2014. [31]王小刚,鲁荣东.库兹涅茨产业结构理论的缺陷与工业化发展阶段的判断[J].经济体制改革,2012(3):7-10. [32]方建中.科技园区转型升级:从产业主导向创新突破转变[J].现代经济探讨,2010(10):5-9. [33]张宓之,高鋆,胡曙虹.创新要素集聚、空间溢出效应与区域企业群发展[J].创新科技,2020,20(11):17-24. [34]刘志彪.产业经济学[M].2版.北京:机械工业出版社,2020. [35]李晓锋.“四链”融合提升创新生态系统能级的理论研究[J].科研管理,2018,39(9):113-120. [36]HOLLAND P W, GLYMOUR C, GRANGER C.Statistics and causal inference[J].Journal of the american statistical association,1986,81(396):945-960. [37]ABADIE A, GARDEAZABAL J.The economic costs of conflict:a case study of the basque country[J].American economic review,2003,93:113-132. [38]ABADIE A, DIAMOND A, HAINMUELLER J.Comparative politics and the synthetic control method[J].American journal of political science,2015,59(2):495-510. [39]ABADIE A, DIAMOND A, HAINMUELLER J.Synthetic control methods for comparative case studies:estimating the effect of california's tobacco control program[J].Journal of the american statistical association,2010,105(490):493-505. [40]BACKUS D K,KEHOE P J,KYDLAND F.International evidence on the historical properties of business cycles[J].The American economic review,1992,82:864-888. [41]干春晖,郑若谷,余典范.中国产业结构变迁对经济增长和波动的影响[J].经济研究,2011,46(5):4-16,31. [42]傅元海,叶祥松,王展祥.制造业结构优化的技术进步路径选择:基于动态面板的经验分析[J].中国工业经济,2014(9):78-90. [43]付凌晖.我国产业结构高级化与经济增长关系的实证研究[J].统计研究,2010,27(8):79-81. [44] 拉吉夫·纳兰,德维卡·德维亚.移轨创新[M].沈蕾,译.北京:中国人民大学出版社,2016. [45]王高峰,杨浩东,汪琛.国内外创新生态系统研究演进对比分析:理论回溯、热点发掘与整合展望[J].科技进步与对策,2021,38(4):151-160. [46]CARAYANNIS E G, GRIGOROUDIS E, CAMPBELL D F,et al.The ecosystem as helix:an exploratory theory-building study of regional coopetitive entrepreneurial ecosystems as quadruple/quintuple helix innovation models[J].R&D management,2018,48:148-162. [47]陈邑早,黄诗华,王圣媛.我国区域创新生态系统运行效率:基于创新价值链视角[J].科研管理,2022,43(7):11-19. [48]杨力,刘敦虎,魏奇锋.共生理论下区域创新生态系统能级提升研究[J].科学学研究,2023,41(10):1897-1909. [49]解学梅,韩宇航,代梦鑫.企业开放式创新生态系统种群共生关系与演化机理研究[J].科技进步与对策,2022,39(21):85-95.