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  2014, Issue (1): 140-146    
  研究与探讨 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
基于IO-SDA模型的广东省外贸隐含碳的分解分析
唐德才1, 王 云1, 仲凤霞1, 李长顺2
1.南京信息工程大学经济管理学院, 江苏 南京 210044;
2.福建省气象局气象服务中心, 福建 福州 350001
Decomposition Analysis on Embodied Carbon in Guangdong's Foreign Trade based on the IO - SDA Model
Tang Decai1, Wang Yun1, Zhong Fengxia1, Li Changshun2
1.College of Economics and Management, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China;2.Meteorological service center, Weather bureau of Fujian province, Fuzhou 350001, China
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摘要 本文运用1997—2011年投入产出的数据, 通过结构分解分析方法, 将广东省对外贸易隐含碳排放的影响分解为规模效应、结构效应和技术效应。研究结果表明:①1997—2011年, 规模效应对出口隐含碳增长的贡献高达4.27亿吨;进口碳减排量增加了3.23亿吨。技术效应对出口隐含碳的贡献值为-3.42亿吨;进口碳减排量减少了2.87亿吨。结构效应对进出口隐含碳的作用较弱, 总体来说都是有利于其碳排放量的减少。②机械设备制造业是出口隐含碳增加最多的部门, 纺织服装业是出口隐含碳减少最多的部门, 进口碳减排量增长最多的部门是机械设备制造业, 进口碳减排量减少最多的部门是化学工业。
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唐德才
王 云
仲凤霞
李长顺
关键词 对外贸易隐含碳驱动因素结构分解分析(SDA)    
Abstract:The influence of Guangdong's foreign trade embodied carbon would have been decomposed into the scale effect, structure effect and technical effect through the structural decomposition analysis method by using the input-output data in 1997—2011.The results show that:①from 1997 to 2011, the contribution of scale effect on exports embodied carbon grows up to 427 million tons while the quantity imported carbon emissions increased 323 million tons.Technology effects on exports embodied carbon's contribution grows up to -342 million tons while the quantity of imported carbon emissions decreased 287 million tons.Structure effect has a weaker impact on both import and export of implicit carbon while it is conducive to reduce its carbon emissions on the whole.②In terms of sector structure decomposition, mechanical equipment manufacturing industry is the department that increase the most in export embodied carbon quantity.Textile clothing industry is the department that decreases the most in exported embodied carbon quantity.The quantity of imported carbon emissions increased the most in mechanical equipment manufacturing industry.The quantity of imported carbon emissions decrease the most in chemical industry.The quantity of imported carbon emissions decrease the most in chemical industry.
Key wordsForeign trade    Embodied carbon    Driving factors    Structural decomposition analysis (SDA)
收稿日期: 2013-08-20     
PACS:  F062  
作者简介: 唐德才(1966-), 男, 江苏射阳人, 管理学博士, 教授, 博士生导师;研究方向:产业经济、气候变化与公共气象。
引用本文:   
唐德才;王 云;仲凤霞;李长顺. 基于IO-SDA模型的广东省外贸隐含碳的分解分析[J]. , 2014(1): 140-146.
Tang Decai;Wang Yun;Zhong Fengxia;Li Changshun. Decomposition Analysis on Embodied Carbon in Guangdong's Foreign Trade based on the IO - SDA Model. , 2014(1): 140-146.
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