Empirical Analysis on Energy Intensity Difference of Chinese Provincial Regions Based on Cusp Catastrophe Model
Ye Cuihong1,Zhao Yulin2
1.School of Economics,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074,China; 2.School of Economics,Wuhan University of Technology;Hubei Provincial Research Center for Scientific and Technological Innovation and Economic Development,Wuhan 430070,China
Abstract：It gives an empirical test on stochastic cusp catastrophe model of energy intensity of Chinese provincial regions,using energy intensity as state variable,technological progress and industrial structure optimization as independent observational variables,and reveals the inner mechanism of regional difference of energy intensity.The results show that,there exists dynamic mechanism of cusp catastrophe among energy intensity,technological progress and industrial structure optimization;industrial structure optimization level is the key factor of regional difference of energy intensity at present,each province should make the industrial structure optimization and upgrading as the important way to reduce energy intensity,while for regions of different technological progress level,the way to adjust and optimize industrial structure should have some difference;in the long term,promoting the technological progress level is the only way to reduce energy intensity.
叶翠红,赵玉林. 基于尖点突变模型的中国省域能源强度差异的实证分析[J]. 中国科技论坛, 2014(10): 132-137.
Ye Cuihong,Zhao Yulin. Empirical Analysis on Energy Intensity Difference of Chinese Provincial Regions Based on Cusp Catastrophe Model. , 2014(10): 132-137.
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