Abstract：The semi-parameter panel data vector autoregression model was built.And with this model,it investigated the nonlinear relationships and dynamic impacts between economic growth,developing level of service sector,carbon emissions intensity and technology progress,respectively.The results indicate:The non-parametric estimation of service sector developing level,economic growth,carbon emissions intensity on technology progress presents“N”,“V”and inverted“U”curve shapes;Instead of reducing carbon emisson intensity,the improvement of service sector's development can strengthen carbon emission intensity;There is of an asymmetrical influence between economic growth and service sector developing level;The up-rising of carbon emissions intensity will not only depress economic growth,but also produce adverse effects on the development of service sector.
[1] BROWN L H,BUETTNER P G,CANYON D V,et al.Estimating the life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of Australian ambulance services[J].Journal of cleaner production,2012,37(4):135-141. [2]李健,周慧.中国碳排放强度与产业结构的关联分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2012,22(1):7-14. [3]PERCH-Nielsen S,SESARTIC A,STUCKI M.The greenhouse gas intensity of the tourism sector:the case of Switzerland.[J].Environmental science & policy,2010,13(2):131-140. [4]LARSEN H N,HERTWICH E G.Analyzing the carbon footprint from public services provided by counties[J].Journal of cleaner production,2011,19(17):1975-1981. [5]FILIMONAU V,DICKINSON J,ROBBINS D,HUIJBREGTS M A J.Reviewing the carbon footprint analysis of hotels:life cycle energy analysis(LCEA)as a holistic method for carbon impact appraisal of tourist accommodation.Journal of cleaner production,2011,19(17):1917-1930. [6]李伯华,刘云鹏,窦银娣.旅游风景区旅游交通系统碳足迹评估及影响因素分析——以南岳衡山为例[J].资源科学,2012,34(5):956-963. [7]王凯,李娟,唐宇凌,等.中国服务业能源消费碳排放量核算及影响因素分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2013,23(5):21-28. [8]刘广为,赵涛.中国碳排放强度预测与第三产业比重检验分析[J].环境科学,2012.33(7):2528-2532. [9]LEE J W,BRAHMASRENE T.Investigating the influence of tourism on economic growth and carbon emissions:evidence from panel analysis of the European Union[J].Social science electronic publishing,2013,38(13):69-76. [10]陈银娥,魏君英,廖宇航.中国服务业增长中的技术进步作用研究[J].华中科技大学学报(社会科学版),2008(05):48-52. [11]王凯,李泳萱,易静,郑群明.中国服务业增长与能源消费碳排放的耦合关系研究[J].经济地理,2013,33(12):108-114.
2016, 
